Manchester City vs Liverpool Betting Preview

By Ernie Bibby, Saturday, April 1, 2023 5:56 am

Man City vs Liverpool Betting Preview

The Premier League returns following the international break and the first game of the weekend looks set to be a cracker. Man City host Liverpool at the Etihad at 12:30pm UK Saturday lunchtime.


Man City

Although they still have a game in hand on Arsenal, Manchester City currently trail the leaders by eight points. With a potentially decisive match between the top two set to take place at the end of April, Pep’s men are still in with a chance of setting up a grandstand finish to the campaign.

Combo 24
Football Manchester City Liverpool
Home 1.49
Draw 4.16
Away 4.71
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City’s home form is rock-solid and they’ve suffered just a single defeat at this venue so far this season. They’ve also kept four consecutive clean sheets across multiple competitions with Burnley, RB Leipzig, Newcastle and Crystal Palace all failing to find a way past their back-line.

Rumours of Erling Haaland’s injury came about during the international break, however, there is a small chance that the Norwegian sniper may be fit enough to feature. If he isn’t able to pass a late fitness test, then deputy Julien Alvarez isn’t a bad replacement to call upon. Phil Foden is City’s only major absentee for this tricky-looking lunchtime fixture.



Having already been dumped out of the FA Cup by Brighton, Liverpool have had plenty of time to recharge their batteries. Nevertheless, with several players away on international duty, Jurgen Klopp’s efforts have probably been centred around getting his injured players back to full fitness as quickly as possible. Luis Diaz may be able to play some part in this fixture having returned to training for the first time since October.

Liverpool went into the international break on a bum note having lost to Bournemouth in the Premier League as well as crashing out of the Champions League at the hands of Real Madrid.

The Reds’ away form has proven troublesome this season with Klopp’s men having failed to score in four of their last five matches on the road. They’ve managed just a single away win so far in 2023 and that came against ten-man Newcastle (although they were already 2-0 up by the time Nick Pope received his marching orders).



Head to Head

Historically, Liverpool have dominated this fixture, winning 17 of the last 41 meetings and across all competitions, they have managed to secure victory in three of the last four fixtures. Nevertheless, it was City who came out when they met in the EFL Cup earlier this season.

In the Premier League, Liverpool have won just one of the last six meetings (in October 2022) and their only success at this venue since 2018 came in the FA Cup.

There are usually plenty of goals when these sides meet with 84% of their fixtures featuring at least two goals and 68% landing Over 2.5 Goals.


Key Betting Stats

  • Eight of the last nine meetings between these sides have featured three or more goals.
  • Liverpool have the 13th best away form in the Premier League and have collected just three victories so far this campaign.
  • Despite their problems on the road, Liverpool away fixtures are usually fairly entertaining with 62% of their matches featuring three or more goals.
  • Liverpool have failed to score on six occasions away from home this season. Only six sides including Everton and Bournemouth have drawn more blanks on their travels.
  • Manchester City home matches have averaged 4.31 goals per game, which is comfortably the highest in the division.
  • Manchester City have scored more first half goals than any other sides this season (32)
  • Kevin de Bruyne has chalked up 12 assists so far this season, seven more than any of his teammates.


Match Prediction

Liverpool’s away form is problematic and although they’ve undoubtedly improved, they could struggle on Saturday. Despite their injuries, City look fairly unstoppable right now and unless they’ve been derailed by the international break, it’s hard to see them slipping up here. The visitors might be able to keep it relatively tight and although recent encounters have been high-scoring, this one might not follow suit.


Winning Combo

Manchester City to Win and Under 3.5 Goals

Odds – 7/5 with Betfair


Best Bookmaker

We recommend using Betfair for betting on this weekend’s Premier League fixtures. Their popular Bet Builder allows you to build your own match accumulator by combining a range of different markets. This is how we have created our winning combo for this game.

If you haven’t already signed up to Betfair, you can also get £30 in free bets when you sign up and bet £10 on the Sportsbook.