Newcastle vs Arsenal Betting Preview

By Ernie Bibby, Thursday, May 4, 2023 11:23 pm

Arsenal face an incredibly tough trip to Tyneside as they take on Newcastle on Sunday afternoon. The game takes place St. James’ Stadium and kicks off at 4:30pm.



Newcastle will be looking to fend off United’s advances on Sunday and will be hoping to take a step closer to securing third place. Eddie Howe has done a magnificent job in the north east and despite enduring a tricky start to 2023, the former Bournemouth boss has managed to get things back on track.

Combo 35
Football Newcastle United Arsenal FC
Home 2.16
Draw 3.67
Away 2.38
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The Toon are incredibly tough to beat and they’ve suffered just one defeat since the beginning of March. They’ve also lost just four times all season with all of those defeats coming against fellow top six opposition.

At home, they’ve been beaten just once and have taken points off Man City, Man United and Spurs at this ground.

Earlier in the campaign, the Magpies struggled for goals, yet they’ve bagged 13 times in their last three games and have drawn just a single blank in their last nine outings.



Arsenal eased past Chelsea in midweek and were good value for their 3-1 success at the Emirates. The Gunners have endured a tricky few months and although their title charge is still a possibility, the odds are now stacked against them.

The Gunners have won just one of their last five outings and have been conceding too many goals. They haven’t kept a clean sheet since March 12th and have managed just a single shutout in their last nine.

On the road, Arsenal have failed to win their last three and have conceded eight goals across those fixtures.

The Gunners’ away form has been exceptional and they’ve been formidable when visiting bottom half sides. Nevertheless, they’ve struggled when visiting fellow top four sides and have conceded nine times in their visits to Man City, Man United and Liverpool.


Head to Head

Arsenal have an excellent record against Newcastle, however, they’ve failed to win either of their last two meetings with the Tyneside outfit. They played out a goalless draw earlier in the season and were beaten 2-0 in their previous visit to this venue.

Interestingly, BTTS hasn’t landed in any of the last nine meetings between these two sides.

Across the last 29 fixtures, Arsenal have been victorious in 22 of those games. Just 48% of these fixtures have featured three or more goals whereas just 31% of them have seen BTTS land.


Key Betting Stats

  • Arsenal have lost just two of their last 15 visits to this ground
  • The Gunners have avoided defeat in each of their last 12 matches held on a Sunday
  • Newcastle have conceded just 11 home goals this season. The lowest of any PL side.
  • The Toon have scored 13 times across their last four home matches
  • Arsenal have conceded eight times across their last three away games. They’ve blown a two-goal lead in two of those.
  • Five of Arsenal’s last six away games have featured at least three goals.
  • Arsenal have conceded 54% of their goals between the 50th and 80th
  • Martin Odegaard netted twice in midweek. He is the club’s second top goal-scorer having netted 14 times so far.


Match Prediction

This could be a really entertaining fixture and should be a lot more end-to-end than the previous meeting between these sides. Arsenal have been conceding far too many goals and are liable to concede once again.


Winning Combo

Newcastle to Win and Over 2.5 Goals

Odds – 5/2 with Bet365


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We recommend using Bet365 to bet on this weekend’s Premier League fixtures. Their Bet Builder allows you to combine multiple selections into one single bet. You can also take advantage of Bet Boosts each and every day.