Newcastle vs Leicester Betting Preview

By Ernie Bibby, Friday, May 19, 2023 5:55 am

Depending on other results, Leicester City could be relegated on Monday night. They make the tough trip to St. James’ Park. The match kicks off at 8pm UK time.



Eddie Howe insists that his side ‘do not fear Liverpool’ in the race for a top four spot. The Magpies have been sitting comfortably inside the top four for the majority of the season, yet the Reds’ late surge has cast doubt over whether the Tyneside outfit can hold onto their spot.

Combo 39
Football Newcastle United Leicester City
Home 1.26
Draw 5.36
Away 6.74
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Thankfully for Howe, the Toon have a couple of easy games to finish the season with a trip to out-of-form Chelsea on the horizon as well as a home tie against relegation-threatened Leicester.

St. James’ Park has been a happy hunting ground for the hosts this year with only two sides (Arsenal and Liverpool) having collected maximum points here so far. They’ve also been superb defensively in front of their own fans and have been breached on just four occasions when hosting bottom half opposition.

Although ultra-critical Newcastle supporters would perhaps point to the fact that their side has drawn too many home matches this season, their ability to pick up points is second to none.



Leicester have endured a season to forget with the Foxes staring relegation in the face. The appointment of Dean Smith prompted a slight upturn in performances, however, a difficult run of fixtures has planted them firmly back in danger and they simply cannot afford to drop any points on Monday evening.

A week ago, they were comprehensively beaten by Liverpool at the KP and have now conceded ten times across their last three PL games. The Foxes have struggled to defend all season, however, their back-line has seemingly become leakier as the campaign has progressed.

The omens are not particularly positive heading into this game with the visitors having failed to pick up a single point when visiting top seven sides and having picked up just three away victories all season.

Although a home fixture against West Ham on the final day has the potential to be a little easier, results elsewhere could potentially relegate Dean Smith’s side before this game even kicks off.


Head to Head

This fixture has always been a fairly entertaining one and neither side has particularly dominated the recent history. Overall, Newcastle have won eight of the last 20 fixtures between these two clubs whereas the Foxes have been victorious in 10. They’ve played out a stalemate just twice during that run of games.

Although 55% of those meetings featured three or more goals, BTTS has paid out in just 31%.

Notwithstanding their overall dominance in this contest, Leicester have lost their last three meetings with this opposition and were comprehensively beaten (0-3) when these sides met at the KP on Boxing Day.


Key Betting Stats

  • Newcastle have scored 52% of their goals after the 50th
  • The Magpies have conceded 46% of their goals in the final 30 minutes of matches.
  • Newcastle have conceded an average of just 0.89 goals per game this season. At home, they’ve shipped just 0.76 goals per match.
  • Just 35% of Newcastle’s home matches have featured three or more goals.
  • Only Liverpool and Manchester United have conceded fewer goals than Newcastle this season.
  • Leicester away games have averaged 3.83 goals per games this season.
  • BTTS has landed in Leicester’s last five away games. It’s landed in 67% of their away games overall.
  • Just 11% of Leicester’s away games have ended all-square.


Match Prediction

Newcastle still have plenty to play for and they won’t be letting up in their final outing at St. James’ Park. Leicester have to attack in this contest and as the Foxes simply cannot keep clean sheets, this could end up as a fairly high-scoring tie.


Winning Combo

Newcastle to Win, Over 3 Goals, Callum Wilson to Score Anytime

Odds – 9/4 with Bet365


Best Bookmaker

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