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Everton vs Arsenal Betting Preview

By Ernie Bibby, Thursday, September 14, 2023 2:00 am

Sunday’s Premier League fixture list concludes with Arsenal’s visit to Merseyside to face Everton. The Gunners will be hoping to build upon their pre-international break victory against Manchester United. This game kicks off at 4:30pm UK time and takes place at Goodison Park. 

 

Everton

It’s been a tricky start to the 2023-24 Premier League season for Everton who have collected just a single point from their opening four matches. There have been small green shoots however, with the Merseysiders battling admirably to collect a point at Bramall Lane a fortnight ago. They are yet to find the back of the net in front of their own fans, yet their numbers are encouraging and with some more accurate finishing, it could have been a completely different story.

Combo 70
Football Everton Arsenal FC
Home 5.31
Draw 4.45
Away 1.38
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Nevertheless, with Wolves, Fulham and Sheffield United amongst their first four fixtures, Everton fans will have expected far better and although he is yet to come under any pressure, Sean Dyche may not have long to turn things around in the blue half of Merseyside.

The club have added some much-needed firepower during the transfer window with Beto and Chermiti both arriving. The former has already got off the mark in the EFL Cup, albeit against League Two opposition.

Sean Dyche masterminded a 1-0 victory against the Gunners in this fixture last season, however, he is unlikely to repeat that trick at such an early stage of the campaign and will be simply hoping that his side can create and convert their chances this time around.

 

Arsenal

Arsenal have been pretty good so far this season, although they left it late to overcome Manchester United at the Emirates two weeks ago. The Gunners have been helped by having three of their first four matches at home, although they were victorious in their only away fixture so far.

Mikel Arteta’s side will be hoping to challenge for the title again this season, although they may also have one eye on their first midweek UCL match of the campaign. They’ve already lost Jurrien Timber to a season-long injury and will be looking to avoid any more bumps and bruises here.

The visitors had to work for their victory at Selhurst Park in August and this is unlikely to be straightforward either. Last season, they were defeated just four times on their travels and conceded a total of just five times when visiting bottom half opposition. Another tight victory is likely and given their troubles here earlier in the year, the majority of their fans would be happy enough with that.

 

Head to Head

The two games between these sides last season were played within a month of one another. As we’ve previously mentioned, Everton upset the much-fancied Gunners at Goodison Park in one of Sean Dyche’s first games in charge of the club. However, the North Londoners got their revenge with a convincing 4-0 victory at the Emirates at the beginning of March.

Everton have been a bit of a bogey team for Arsenal at Goodison Park and they’ve won each of the last three here. They’ve also been victorious in four of the last five with the visitor’s last success at this ground coming in December 2017 (5-2) with Wayne Rooney opening the scoring for the hosts.

 

Key Betting Stats

  • 25% of Arsenal’s goals this season have been scored after the 81st minute
  • The Gunners have been fairly decisive so far this season with a shot conversion rate of 19%
  • 75% of Arsenal games this season have contained at least 11 corners
  • Although they are yet to find the back of the net here, Everton have clocked up an average xG of 1.97 across their first two home matches
  • Beto has played just 90 minutes in the PL so far, yet the Portuguese striker managed four efforts on goal during his top flight debut.
  • Martin Odegaard, who scored for Norway in midweek, already has two goals to his name this season and is averaging 3.5 shots per match so far.

 

Match Prediction

Everton have got to start scoring soon, however, they are coming up against a well-organised Arsenal side who were business-like in their approach to away games last season. Sean Dyche’s side should find a way through, but may just fall short (again)

 

Winning Combo

Arsenal to Win and BTTS

Odds – 2/1 with Bet365 

 

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