Newcastle vs Arsenal Betting Preview

By Ernie Bibby, Wednesday, November 1, 2023 11:17 pm

Newcastle will be pleased to return to St. James’ Park on Saturday teatime as they host high-flying Arsenal to Tyneside. This game kicks off at 5:30pm. 



Newcastle were unable to hold onto a 2-1 lead last weekend at Molineux as Eddie Howe’s side were forced to settle for a point. Given their punishing schedule and the fact that Wolves have been playing well under Gary O’Neill, it can’t be classified as a bad result.

Combo 85
Football Newcastle United Arsenal FC
Home 2.27
Draw 3.37
Away 2.32
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Newcastle’s away form has been patchy, however, their record at home has been sensational and they will be looking to continue that superb streak on Saturday evening.

The Magpies have won four of their first five matches at this venue and they’ve managed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last three here. They suffered just two defeats here last season and since December 2021, they’ve lost just four Premier League games in front of their own fans – Liverpool have been responsible for three of them. The only other side to beat them during that period was this weekend’s visitors, Arsenal.

Newcastle still have a number of injury concerns with the continued absence of several key players. Alexander Isak’s injury, which keeps him out of the squad for at least a month, has the potential to overburden Callum Wilson, although Eddie Howe has spoken about the possibility of utilising Anthony Gordon through the middle.

Sandro Tonali’s absence also leaves a gap in the centre of the park, although the imminent return of Joe Willock should allievate too many concerns.



Arsenal couldn’t have asked for an easier assignment as they breezed past Sheffield United at the Emirates last weekend. It was a chance for the Gunners to improve their goal difference and much-needed confidence booster for Eddie Nketiah who netted a hattrick.

The Gunners have been superb so far this season and have still only been breached on eight occasions. The North London club dropped point at Stamford Bridge during their last away game, yet they’ve been superb on the road throughout the last 12 months and will be hoping to continue that fine record on Saturday evening.

The visitors have conceded just two goals on their travels this season and shipped less than a goal a game on average last season (0.95 goals per game). They also managed to keep the hosts off the scoresheet during their last visit to this ground.

Although the majority of the focus has been on Newcastle’s injury issues lately, Arsenal will also have to cope without the services of Gabriel Jesus and Thomas Partey, both of whom will be sorely missed on Tyneside. The latter has suffered a miserable injury-hit spell and is unlikely to be back before the November international break.

With rivals Spurs not in action until Monday night, Arsenal will have the chance to go above their North London neighbours with three points on Saturday teatime.


Head to Head

Matches between these two sides have been reasonably low on entertainment in recent seasons. These match-ups are always tactically fascinating, yet they rarely produce high-scoring end-to-end affairs.

Each of the last three matches between these sides has ended 2-0 with Arsenal coming out on the right side of that scoreline on two occasions. Newcastle beat the Gunners by the same scoreline when they met in May 2022.

Overall, five of the last seven meetings between these sides have ended 2-0 either way and just one of the last seven fixtures has featured three or more goals. You have to go back to September 2018 to find the last time that both teams got on the scoresheet in this fixture.


Key Betting Stats

  • Arsenal away games have averaged exactly 2.5 goals. Only four sides have averaged fewer on the road.
  • The Gunners have conceded just two goals on the road. That’s two fewer than any other PL outfit.
  • Only Liverpool, Man City and Spurs have conceded fewer home goals than Newcastle
  • There have been nine or more corners in each of Arsenal’s last four away games
  • Two of Anthony Gordon’s three goals have come at St. James’ Park.
  • Two of Martin Odegaard’s three goals have come away from the Emirates. He also netted the opener against Newcastle last season.


Match Prediction

Another tight and competitive match is anticipated on Saturday teatime. There is unlikely to be much between them once again, however, Arsenal know what it takes to win here and may just edge it.


Winning Combo

Arsenal Win or Draw Double Chance, Under 4 Match Goals and Over 9 Corners

Odds – 11/5 with Bet365 


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